A-Level Maths: Modelling Growth and Decay
Using Exponential Functions and Differential Equations
One of the most powerful ideas students meet in A-Level Mathematics is that very different real-world situations can be described by the same mathematics. Whether we are modelling population growth, radioactive decay, charging a capacitor, or the spread of a virus, the same exponential structure keeps appearing.
This makes growth and decay a perfect topic for mathematical modelling — and a favourite with examiners.
1. The Core Idea: Rate Proportional to Size
At the heart of exponential models is a simple assumption:
The rate of change of a quantity is proportional to the amount present.
In mathematical form:
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= quantity (population, mass, charge, number of bacteria…)
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= time
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= constant of proportionality
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→ growth
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→ decay
This single differential equation underpins the whole topic.
2. Solving the Differential Equation
Separating variables:
Integrating:
Exponentiating:
where is the initial value when .
๐ This is the exponential model used throughout A-Level Maths.
3. Exponential Growth Models
Used when quantities increase over time:
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Population growth (with unlimited resources)
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Bacterial cultures
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Compound interest
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Early stages of epidemics
General form:
Key features students should recognise:
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Constant percentage increase
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Doubling time is constant
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Graph gets steeper with time
4. Exponential Decay Models
Used when quantities decrease over time:
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Radioactive decay
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Cooling (simplified models)
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Discharging capacitors
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Drug concentration in the bloodstream
Model:
Important exam ideas:
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Half-life is constant
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The quantity never quite reaches zero
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Logarithms are often used to find
5. Connecting to Data and Modelling Assumptions
In modelling questions, marks are often earned (or lost!) on interpretation.
Typical assumptions:
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No limiting factors (no carrying capacity)
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Constant rate of growth or decay
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Continuous change (not step-by-step)
Common exam tasks:
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Find from given data
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Predict future values
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Interpret what means in context
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Comment on the validity of the model
6. Why Differential Equations Matter
Differential equations:
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Explain why exponential models arise
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Link calculus with real-world behaviour
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Prepare students for A-Level Physics, Chemistry, Biology and university STEM
For many students, this is the moment maths stops being abstract and starts to describe reality.
7. Teaching Tip (From the Lab)
At Hemel Private Tuition, we often:
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Plot real experimental data
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Fit exponential curves
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Linearise models using
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Compare theory with real-world limitations
Seeing the maths emerge from data makes it far more memorable — and exam-proof.








